Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Monday 7:05
Tuesday 6:38

Let's talk politics. Vote for Bernie Sanders. While most democrats poll higher than the President (a giant meteor wiping out all life on the planet polled higher than him in a recent poll), Bernie has the highest chance of defeating him in the fall. It is gratifying to see Biden tanking it early, since I think he has the least chance of beating Trump, but I worry that if all the moderates gravitate towards Buttigieg or Bloomberg, they'll outnumber the Bernie supporters after he presumably forces Warren out. Warren is essentially fighting for third place in New Hampshire with Biden, and Bernie is expected to win, as he did four years ago.

Biden is basically counting on South Carolina, since he has the most minority support, and Buttigieg is weak on that front. Biden might win it, too, since Bloomberg is skipping that one as well. If Bernie finishes a strong second, that's probably curtains for Warren. I do like her, but this just isn't the right time. I know she'll be a champion for Bernie over anyone else in the race.

I'm usually pretty good at predicting this sort of thing. In 2008, I overheard two people (presumably republicans) in my chorus discussing politics, and one of them bet $50 that not only would Mitt Romney win the nomination, he would win the presidency as well. I wish I could have gotten in on that. I was quite sure McCain would get the nomination, and I was right. But nothing is a sure bet anymore. Bloomberg throws a wrench into the works, spending nothing but his own money, but billionaires are not the most popular these days, especially among the youth. Millennials of voting age: You outnumber the Boomers! Register! Vote!

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